India's fiscal deficit may reach 4.7% of GDP in 2026-27
State Bank of India research suggests the Centre's fiscal deficit could exceed budget estimates due to subsidy spending and tax collection challenges.
At a glance
- SBI Research projects India's fiscal deficit at 4.7% of GDP for 2026-27
- Projected overshoot of budget estimates by around Rs 1.2 lakh crore
- Higher subsidy spending and lower tax collection cited as contributing factors
India's fiscal deficit for the financial year 2026-27 may reach 4.7% of gross domestic product, according to research from the State Bank of India. The projection suggests the Centre's deficit could exceed budget estimates by approximately Rs 1.2 lakh crore, driven by higher subsidy spending and lower tax revenues.
The forecast indicates potential fiscal pressures in the coming years as the government balances expenditure commitments with revenue collection challenges.
Why it matters
Fiscal deficit projections are key indicators of government finances and can influence inflation, interest rates and economic policy decisions.
Original reporting
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